This report by National Planning Authority (NPA) of Uganda, was completed with technical and financial support from the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA), and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Uganda. The study uses a system dynamics simulation model customized to Uganda to help understand and estimate Uganda’s SDG achievement into 2030 under different policy and intervention implementation scenarios for NDP3 and was integrated into the NDP3 itself. In the Base scenario, where no additional investment is made through NDP III, the average SDG progress in absolute terms is 7.0%. NDP III improves SDG performance by an average of 3.17%. The analysis also identified three SDG Accelerators – Environment, Governance and Industry – as the priority investment areas that increase SDG performance. To be clear, these are not SDGs that accelerate other SDGs, but rather specific, actionable intervention areas that can accelerate SDG achievement. They were identified based on three criteria of analysis: first, return on investment, second, synergy (how well the intervention type increased SDG achievement when implemented alongside other interventions), and lastly, dropout analysis (how well the intervention type increased SDG achievement when implemented alone). Prioritizing these accelerators would improve the overall SDG attainment by 10.1% by the end of 2030, as compared with the case where NDP III were not implemented. Additionally, interventions in Human Capital Development (which includes Health, Education and Water and Sanitation), and Infrastructure and Agriculture categories of interventions, are important for the achievement of specific SDGs.
The full report can be found here: iSDG Report SIGNED
A policy brief is also available here: iSDG Policy Brief (1)